Underwrite before you commit
The figures in this post are checked against Dubai Land Department records and RERA filings. Get an independent underwriting score on any project, or ask Javier on WhatsApp.
Overview
Dubai Science Park registered 3,187 unit sales over the last 12 months, and 95.0% of them were off-plan. The median unit measured 50.0 square metres and the median price was AED 1,043,528.
Read those three figures together. Almost nobody here is buying a finished apartment, the apartments are small, and the middle of the market still costs seven figures. That combination decides how your exit will go.
95.0% off-plan means you will sell into a handover wave
Every figure on this page comes from registered Dubai Land Department transactions, units only, priced between AED 200,000 and AED 2.5 million, over the last 12 months. Registered means the deal completed and was recorded. Not listings. Not asking prices. Not a developer forecast.
At 95.0% off-plan, the second-hand market in Dubai Science Park is a rounding error next to the construction market. That has a direct consequence for you.
Off-plan sales cluster around launches. Launches hand over in waves. When a tower completes, the investors who bought the same floor plan on the same payment plan reach the same decision in the same few months. Many list. Your apartment will then be one of a set of near-identical units, and the only variable a buyer can see is price. That is how people who bought at a good launch price still exit badly.
The way to survive that is to buy a unit that will not look interchangeable on handover day. A high floor, a genuine view, a corner layout, a better orientation. If the only thing distinguishing your unit from the one above it is the floor number, you have bought the discount.
3,187 sales is real depth, but check your own pool
Studios recorded 1,669 registered sales. One-bedroom apartments recorded 1,306. Two-bedroom apartments recorded 198. Other sizes make up the balance of the 3,187.
The studio and one-bed pools are deep. The two-bedroom pool is not. 198 registered two-bedroom sales across 12 months is a thin market by any measure, and it should give you pause if a broker is steering you toward a two-bed here on the argument that it is the family option.
What thin actually costs you. Fewer comparables for the valuer, so your buyer's mortgage valuation is less predictable. Fewer active buyers, so a longer marketing period. Less pricing evidence, so more room for a buyer to argue you down. None of that is fatal. All of it is worth knowing before you commit, not after.
If you buy a studio or a one-bed, the opposite applies. You are in the volume part of this market, with plenty of registered evidence behind your price. The risk shifts from finding a buyer to standing out among the many similar units listing alongside you.
A seven-figure median for a 50.0 square metre median unit
The median unit size is 50.0 square metres. The median transaction value is AED 1,043,528. The middle of this market is a small apartment at a seven-figure price.
That is not automatically bad. Small units let rent-focused buyers into a district they could not otherwise afford, and small floor plans are what the launch pipeline here is producing. It does mean you should be honest about what you are buying. You are buying a compact unit in a market where compact units are abundant, so the burden is on the specific apartment to justify itself.
And remember what a median is. Half of the registered sales landed below AED 1,043,528. It is a midpoint, not a valuation. If the unit in front of you sits well above it, get a real reason, in writing, from the registered sales in that specific building.
The figures
| Figure | Value |
| --- | --- |
|---|
| Registered unit sales, last 12 months | 3,187 |
| Off-plan share | 95.0% |
| Median transaction value | AED 1,043,528 |
| Median unit size | 50.0 sqm |
| Studio sales | 1,669 |
| One-bedroom sales | 1,306 |
| Two-bedroom sales | 198 |
Source: registered DLD transactions, units only, AED 200,000 to AED 2.5 million, last 12 months.
Before you sign
Get the payment plan in writing, including post-handover terms and what happens if you miss an instalment. Get the handover date and check the project's registration and escrow account. Ask for the projected service charge, then compare it against the current charge in a completed building by the same developer, because projections run low. Ask how many units in your tower have sold and how many went to investors, because that number is your competition on handover day.
Oliva is a Dubai brokerage with no paid placements, RERA BRN 1573501. Send us the specific unit you are considering in Dubai Science Park and we will underwrite it for free: the registered comparables, the handover supply you will be selling against, the service charge and the payment plan. We give you a straight verdict, and that verdict is sometimes do not buy.
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