Underwrite before you commit
The figures in this post are checked against Dubai Land Department records and RERA filings. Get an independent underwriting score on any project, or ask Javier on WhatsApp.
Overview
The median registered rent near Nakheel Metro Station is AED 63,000 a year. The Dubai median for the same filter is also AED 63,000. This station sits exactly on the city line, across 5,650 registered contracts in the last 18 months. There is no station premium here and no station discount. What there is, is a range.
All rent figures below come from registered Ejari contracts covering the last 18 months. A registered contract is a rent a tenant signed and a landlord banked. Asking rents on a portal are a different thing entirely, and they are not what this page reports.
The figures
| Measure | Value |
| --- | --- |
|---|
| Registered rent contracts near the station, last 18 months | 5,650 |
| Median annual rent | AED 63,000 |
| 25th percentile | AED 48,858 |
| 75th percentile | AED 85,000 |
| Dubai median annual rent, same filter | AED 63,000 |
| Contracts behind the Dubai median | 174,794 |
Matching the city median is not the same as being average
Two numbers that agree can hide two very different markets. The Dubai median rests on 174,794 contracts spread across every kind of building in the emirate. This station's median rests on 5,650 contracts in one pocket of it. They arrive at the same figure by different routes.
The useful reading is this. If a seller tells you a unit near this station commands more than the typical Dubai apartment, the registered record does not back that claim at the median. If a seller tells you it is a bargain area with below-market rents, the register does not back that either. You are at the city line, which means every dirham of outperformance has to come from the unit itself.
The range is where the decision lives
A quarter of contracts near this station were signed at or below AED 48,858. A quarter were signed at or above AED 85,000. That is a wide corridor for a station whose midpoint is ordinary, and it tells you that size, condition and building matter more here than location does.
Underwrite at AED 48,858, not at AED 85,000. If the purchase still makes sense at the bottom quarter, you own a margin for error. If it only makes sense at the top quarter, you have to be right about the unit, right about the tenant, and right about the timing, all at once.
Rent is one input, not the answer
You cannot compute a yield from this page. Yield needs the rent, which is here, and the price of the specific apartment you are buying, which is not. Two identical units producing identical rent will return different numbers depending on what each owner paid for them.
Subtract the costs the rent has to absorb. Service charges vary widely between towers and they are the single most common thing buyers forget to check. Vacancy between tenancies is unpaid time. Agency and maintenance take their share. The registered annual contract value is the gross figure, not your net.
What 5,650 contracts tells you about exit and re-let
The count is the part people skim past, and it should not be. Thousands of registered contracts over 18 months means the demand pattern here repeats. You are not relying on one employer, one building or one type of tenant to keep your unit occupied. When a tenant leaves, the relevant question is what the next contract prices at, not whether a next tenant exists.
That depth also gives you a defensible number in a renewal negotiation. Registered contracts are evidence. A landlord who knows where the band sits argues from data. A landlord who does not, argues from hope.
What the figures do not cover
This cut does not split contracts by bedroom count, by tower, or by whether the unit is furnished. It groups everything registered near the station into one distribution. So a studio at the bottom of the band and a larger unit at the top both sit inside the same median. Do not assume your apartment inherits the middle. Find out where it actually sits.
Ask these before committing:
- What does the current registered Ejari contract on this unit say?
- What did the previous contract say, and which way did the renewal move?
- What is this building's service charge this year, per square foot?
- How many comparable units in the same tower are being marketed for rent today?
- Is the quoted rent for a furnished or unfurnished let?
Before you sign
Oliva is a Dubai brokerage with no paid placements. Send us the specific unit, the tower, the floor, the size and the asking price, and we will underwrite it against the registered record for free. We will show you where its likely rent falls inside the range above, what the service charge does to that, and how easily a buyer is likely to take it off your hands later. Plenty of units near a busy station are priced properly and hold up. Some are not, and when that is the case the verdict is do not buy this one.
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