Underwrite before you commit
The figures in this post are checked against Dubai Land Department records and RERA filings. Get an independent underwriting score on any project, or ask Javier on WhatsApp.
Overview
Jumeirah Village Triangle registered 3,918 unit sales over the last 12 months, and 85.6% of them were off-plan. This is a construction market. Most people buying here right now are buying a floor plan, not an apartment.
That single share should shape your decision more than any price forecast, because it describes the crowd you will be selling into.
3,918 sales means the exit exists
Transaction depth answers one question. How hard will this be to sell?
Every figure here comes from registered Dubai Land Department transactions, units only, priced between AED 200,000 and AED 2.5 million, over the last 12 months. Registered means signed, paid and recorded. Not listings and not asking prices.
3,918 registered sales means the buyer you will eventually need is not hypothetical. Thousands of people chose this community at this kind of budget inside a single year. That volume matters in a way most buyers only discover at exit. When your buyer applies for a mortgage, the bank values your apartment against recent registered sales in the same building and community. Plenty of comparables produces a valuation close to your agreed price. Thin comparables produce a low valuation, and a low valuation ends the deal.
So the depth here is genuinely reassuring. The composition is where the work is.
85.6% off-plan is the warning and the opportunity
85.6% of those 3,918 sales were off-plan. Two consequences follow for someone buying one apartment.
First, your exit. Off-plan buyers cluster around launches, and launches complete in waves. When a tower hands over, a block of investors who bought the same floor plan on the same payment plan all decide within the same few months whether to keep or sell. If you are one of them, you are selling a unit that is close to identical to the one two floors up, and the only lever either of you holds is price. That is how a good building produces a bad sale.
Second, your entry. A high off-plan share means launch pricing and long payment plans are genuinely available to you. You can buy with a deposit and instalments through construction instead of the full price today. That is real, and it is a large part of why this share sits where it does.
The mistake is treating those two facts as one thing. Buying well off-plan does not make selling easy later. You need a unit that differs from its neighbours in a way a buyer will actually pay for: a higher floor, a genuine view, a corner layout, an orientation away from the afternoon sun. Sameness is the risk in a market that is 85.6% off-plan.
Where the depth sits by unit type
One-bedroom apartments recorded 1,946 registered sales. Studios recorded 1,344. Two-bedroom apartments recorded 607. Other sizes make up the balance of the 3,918.
Your buyer pool is the line that matches your unit, not the headline. A one-bed sits in the deepest pool in this community. A two-bed sits in a much smaller one, so budget for a longer sale and do not assume the community's overall activity carries your specific size.
The figures
| Figure | Value |
| --- | --- |
|---|
| Registered unit sales, last 12 months | 3,918 |
| Off-plan share | 85.6% |
| Median transaction value | AED 1,142,287 |
| Median unit size | 66.4 sqm |
| Studio sales | 1,344 |
| One-bedroom sales | 1,946 |
| Two-bedroom sales | 607 |
Source: registered DLD transactions, units only, AED 200,000 to AED 2.5 million, last 12 months.
Median price, median size
The median transaction value is AED 1,142,287. The median unit size is 66.4 square metres.
A median is a midpoint, not a price list. Half of the registered sales landed below AED 1,142,287. If a broker shows you a unit well above that figure, the question is not whether it is expensive. The question is what it offers that the middle of the market does not, and whether your future buyer will pay for the same thing.
Be particularly careful with off-plan price lists. A launch price is set by the developer. The registered median is what buyers and sellers actually agreed on and recorded. When the two disagree, the registered number is the one with evidence behind it.
Before you sign
Get the payment plan in writing, including any post-handover terms. Check the projected service charge and compare it against the current charge in a completed building by the same developer, because projections are optimistic more often than not. Ask how many units in your specific tower have already sold, and how many went to investors rather than end users. That tells you how crowded your handover month will be.
Oliva is a Dubai brokerage with no paid placements, RERA BRN 1573501. Send us the specific unit you are looking at in Jumeirah Village Triangle and we will underwrite it for free: the registered comparables, the supply you will be selling against at handover, the service charge and the payment plan. If the numbers say do not buy, that is exactly what we will tell you.
Related articles

Dubai transaction time-to-close trends

Dubai Marina Transaction Depth: 1,780 Sales and Almost No Off-Plan

Al Hebiah Fifth: 1,772 Sales, and 93.3 Percent of Them Off-Plan

Business Bay registered 6,870 apartment sales, and 42.4% were off-plan

Dubai Investment Park Second registered 2,905 apartment sales, and 91.5% were off-plan

Wadi Al Safa 3: 2,428 Sales and a Studio-Led Market
Related Dubai property analysis from the Oliva editorial team.
